Tropical Storm LAURA Advisory 8月25日

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE LAURA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132020
2100 UTC TUE AUG 25 2020

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LAURA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

WALLOPS CDA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

GFMX 290N 870W 34  4   3( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

MOBILE AL      34  X   3( 3)   3( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

GULFPORT MS    34  1   4( 5)   7(12)   5(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)

STENNIS MS     34  2   4( 6)   9(15)   7(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)

BURAS LA       34  3   9(12)   8(20)   4(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)

GFMX 280N 890W 34 38  19(57)   1(58)   1(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
GFMX 280N 890W 50  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

JACKSON MS     34  X   1( 1)  10(11)  12(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)

NEW ORLEANS LA 34  2   9(11)  17(28)   8(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)

GFMX 280N 910W 34 30  62(92)   1(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
GFMX 280N 910W 50  2  46(48)   3(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)
GFMX 280N 910W 64  X  16(16)   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

BATON ROUGE LA 34  1   8( 9)  35(44)  10(54)   1(55)   X(55)   X(55)
BATON ROUGE LA 50  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
BATON ROUGE LA 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

MORGAN CITY LA 34  2  25(27)  30(57)   5(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
MORGAN CITY LA 50  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
MORGAN CITY LA 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

ALEXANDRIA LA  34  X   5( 5)  45(50)  26(76)   1(77)   X(77)   X(77)
ALEXANDRIA LA  50  X   X( X)   7( 7)  21(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
ALEXANDRIA LA  64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

LAFAYETTE LA   34  1  13(14)  55(69)   8(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
LAFAYETTE LA   50  X   1( 1)  17(18)  10(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
LAFAYETTE LA   64  X   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

NEW IBERIA LA  34  2  18(20)  51(71)   6(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
NEW IBERIA LA  50  X   1( 1)  17(18)   7(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
NEW IBERIA LA  64  X   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

GFMX 280N 930W 34  4  85(89)   8(97)   1(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
GFMX 280N 930W 50  X  61(61)  24(85)   1(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)
GFMX 280N 930W 64  X  28(28)  44(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)

SHREVEPORT LA  34  X   1( 1)  21(22)  48(70)   4(74)   X(74)   X(74)
SHREVEPORT LA  50  X   X( X)   2( 2)  26(28)   4(32)   X(32)   X(32)
SHREVEPORT LA  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

FORT POLK LA   34  X   5( 5)  58(63)  23(86)   1(87)   X(87)   X(87)
FORT POLK LA   50  X   X( X)  19(19)  34(53)   1(54)   X(54)   X(54)
FORT POLK LA   64  X   X( X)   3( 3)  20(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)

LAKE CHARLES   34  1   9(10)  76(86)   7(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
LAKE CHARLES   50  X   1( 1)  50(51)  18(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)
LAKE CHARLES   64  X   X( X)  24(24)  17(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)

CAMERON LA     34  2  36(38)  56(94)   2(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
CAMERON LA     50  X   4( 4)  68(72)   6(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
CAMERON LA     64  X   X( X)  45(45)   9(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)

JASPER TX      34  X   5( 5)  58(63)  23(86)   1(87)   X(87)   X(87)
JASPER TX      50  X   X( X)  24(24)  33(57)   1(58)   X(58)   X(58)
JASPER TX      64  X   X( X)   5( 5)  26(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)

KOUNTZE TX     34  X   5( 5)  66(71)  14(85)   1(86)   X(86)   X(86)
KOUNTZE TX     50  X   X( X)  37(37)  23(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
KOUNTZE TX     64  X   X( X)  13(13)  21(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34  X   8( 8)  76(84)   7(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50  X   1( 1)  51(52)  14(66)   1(67)   X(67)   X(67)
PORT ARTHUR TX 64  X   X( X)  27(27)  19(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)

GALVESTON TX   34  X  19(19)  53(72)   3(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)
GALVESTON TX   50  X   2( 2)  30(32)   4(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
GALVESTON TX   64  X   X( X)  15(15)   4(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

HOUSTON TX     34  X   5( 5)  40(45)  12(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
HOUSTON TX     50  X   X( X)  11(11)   7(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
HOUSTON TX     64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

AUSTIN TX      34  X   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)

SAN ANTONIO TX 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

FREEPORT TX    34  X   6( 6)  34(40)   6(46)   1(47)   X(47)   X(47)
FREEPORT TX    50  X   X( X)   8( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
FREEPORT TX    64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GFMX 280N 950W 34  2  21(23)  26(49)   1(50)   1(51)   X(51)   X(51)
GFMX 280N 950W 50  X   3( 3)   6( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
GFMX 280N 950W 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

HIGH ISLAND TX 34  1   9(10)  68(78)   5(83)   1(84)   X(84)   X(84)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50  X   1( 1)  42(43)  10(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
HIGH ISLAND TX 64  X   X( X)  21(21)  12(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)

MATAGORDA TX   34  X   8( 8)  21(29)   2(31)   1(32)   X(32)   X(32)
MATAGORDA TX   50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
MATAGORDA TX   64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

PORT O CONNOR  34  X   6( 6)  11(17)   2(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

ROCKPORT TX    34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

CORPUS CHRISTI 34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

GFMX 270N 960W 34  X   7( 7)   4(11)   2(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

HARLINGEN TX   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BROWNSVILLE TX 34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GFMX 250N 960W 34  1   4( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

PENSACOLA NAS  34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

KEESLER AB     34  2   8(10)   6(16)   3(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
FORECASTER BEVEN